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Feb 04th
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Home Boxing

Boxing Editorials

MAYWEATHER VS. COTTO - NOT EVEN OUR SECOND OR THIRD CHOICE

MAYWEATHER VS. COTTO - NOT EVEN OUR SECOND OR THIRD CHOICE

More bad news from the world of boxing.  OK, a slow couple of months would not have soured the average boxing fan.  As a fan of the sweet science, you take your good with the bad, because when things are good, they stay with you forever.  However, boxing fans are being teased... and that is what I will remember most about the month of January.  It is one thing to not get.  However, we thought we would be getting a lot.  We started off with a few slow weeks on Friday Night Fights (until last week), a cancellation of hotly anticipated Berto-Ortiz 2, and you guessed it... no big superfight.

If Manny Pacquiao and Floyd Mayweather are not going to fight, it's time for us to shut up about it.  I am speaking to other scribes, Freddie Roach, Bob Arum, as well as the fighters themselves.  Enough already.  We were not teased this long for Frazier vs. Ali, and that was only stopped by a licensing issue!  This is the last article I will write on the subject until the fight is signed.  All parties involved are to blame, and history will likely blame them all equally.  There is nothing they can do about it.  Freddie Roach may get off scott free, as will perhaps Golden Boy, but the rest of the parties are all history's villains.

It would be one thing if both men were forgoing the fights to break new ground.  If Pacquiao were having a fourth fight with the most competitive opponent he's had, in Marquez, then fine.  If Mayweather were attempting to make history by moving up to Middleweight to take on Sergio Martinez, that would be great.  However, not only are we not getting those fights, we are likely not even getting our consolation prizes.  Canelo Alvarez and Timothy Bradley are also out of the equation.  We are back to each man taking on the other's victims, to compare themselves, and waste valuable time.

 

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MARCH BOXING PREDITCIONS, PART 1

MARCH BOXING  PREDITCIONS, PART 1
Wladimir Klitschko vs. Jean-Marc Mormeck
I have no idea why this fight is happening, but we are not off to a competitive start with March.  Mormeck is a former two time Ring Magazine cruiserweight champion, but is pushing 40, undersized, and has done nothing to earn a crack at the legit heavyweight champion.  Perhaps Wladmir is looking for a fighter against whom it will look like he is taking risks, by being aggressive, but instead it will simply look as if he is picking on a smaller man.  Mormeck will likely go out with a whimper, and not a bang.  Klitschko by early KO.

Yuriorkis Gamboa vs. Rocky Juarez
This bout would only be mildly intriguing if Juarez was in his prime.  Even then, he failed at the level to which Gamboa has already proven himself a member.  Now, at a slower, older age, he is basically being put in front of the Cuban sensation to make him look faster than lightning.  Juarez ’s chin will keep him in it at first, but a corner rescue is inevitable here.  Gamboa by 7th round TKO.

Orlando Salido vs. Juan Manuel Lopez 2
Puerto Rico is quickly becoming the St. Louis of non-mainland hometowns.  I mean that in that it is no advantage, as fighters lose at home, as often as they win.  Lopez the last time, then Ivan Calderon.  Now, Lopez is looking to take the island back to winning ways.  While Salido did suffer a few KO losses in his earlier career, that was a lifetime ago, and he is quite durable now.  Lopez has surperior skills, and provided his ego does not get in the way, he should be able to right the ship.  It is a very dangerous rematch, but I see Lopez remaining disciplined just long enough to escape with a close unanimlous decision.

 

 

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GOING THE DISTANCE

GOING THE DISTANCE
I applaud the fighters who are perennial gatekeepers… particularly the ones who force young prospects to put in the rounds.  It’s true that these are the wrong kinds of long careers to have, yet most of their fights only go 4-6 rounds, therefore they don’t accumulate as much damage.  There is something to be said for lasting, and earning a paycheck that was technically earned the second you made it into the ring.  Especially when you know, as many of them do, that the decision would not go your way, even if you deserved it.  Most of these fighters were simply not punchers.  Combine that with a lack of a support system, and you have a recipe for this kind of career.  Let’s look at a few modern examples:

Reggie Strickland – With over 300 bouts to his name, Strickland was Buck Smith, if Smith lost all the time.  For those of you who don’t get the comparison, Smith was the insanely active prospect of the early 90’s, who once fought twice in one day!  Strickland made his living entirely as a journeyman clubfighter.  He usually extended young prospects as well, including a young Tavoris Cloud, at a time when Cloud was knocking everyone silly.  He also saw his share of controversial decisions go against him.  One was so flagrantly obvious, that Strickland was announced the winner, only to witness a loud argument between the promoter and the commission at ringside.  Next he heard the decision reversed.  Wow!  That takes balls!  But none compared to the ones Strickland showed fighting anyone and everyone with futility for that many years.  He finally did retire, and let’s hope this is where his boxing story ends.

Marion Wilson – Don’t bother trying for the knockout.  While Wilson , like Strickland, had enough skills to scare an upset as a possibility, his main skill was going the distance.  Even against murderous punchers like Sam Peter, Wilson saw the final bell.  He did so with chin, and guile, and more than a little bending of the rules.  He even scored the occasional upset, such as over silver medalist Paea Wolfgramm.  His robbery story was Ray Mercer.  Not a bad decision really, but the draw was much more kind to Mercer than Wilson.

 

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SUPER MIDDLEWEIGHT, A MESS AGAIN??

SUPER MIDDLEWEIGHT, A MESS AGAIN??

I have a few thoughts regarding the recently proposed deal for a two-fight series between Carl Froch and Lucian Bute.  The idea involves a two fight series, one fight in each fighter’s hometown.  First off, nice try in getting us to forget that the big fight in the Super Middleweight division is Andre Ward vs. Lucian Bute.  Perhaps someone looked at the numbers and realized that Bute vs. Ward has a problem.  Both men sell tickets in their home regions, and nowhere else.

Neutral ground made no sense, and perhaps neither was willing to give up home ring advantage, as that fight is likely to go to the scorecards.  While the matchmaking done in the Super Six 168lb tournament should be an inspiration to us all, it was a series that did not display a ton of knockouts.  There were two to be exact… Johnson over Green, and Abraham over Taylor .  Overall it was a positive experience.  There was drama, a few upsets, and not really any outright lousy decisions.

While the set-up forced most people to fight outside of their home turf, it did not really make a star out of anyone in a new region.  Andre Ward won the whole tournament without leaving his home country.  In fact, he did not even leave his home state until the final.  He didn’t even leave his hometown until the semi-final.  He is now the legitimate champion at 168lbs, but he is still largely unknown in Europe , as is the number one contender, Lucian Bute.  Bute does not need to beat Carl Froch to prove this further, either.  This is merely delaying the inevitable at least 7-8 months, if not a full year, as injuries and postponements are very likely.

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REMATCHES CAN BE ILL-TIMED

REMATCHES CAN BE ILL-TIMED
I have written once before on the subject of ring fatalities, from the perspective that the victor in a fatal contest is often rushed in their next outing.  George Jones, Steve Dotse, Jesus Chavez, etc all were soundly beaten in their next outing following a fatal KO.  Part of this may have been a gun-shy nature after a traumatic event, but most of it was the result of taking the biggest step up that had been taken by each fighter at the time.  Death is not the only traumatic event that one has to overcome in boxing.  Losses, especially in certain fashions, are something that must be dealt with.  It is a vulnerable time, and matchmaking must be done carefully.

I believe certain rematches are planned at good times for the fans, but bad times for one of the fighters involved.  The recent pull out of Yordanis Despaigne, from his rematch with Edison Miranda, is a prime example.  Despaigne was criticized for facilitating a DQ win over Miranda in their first match.  It is not his fault that Miranda is a dirty fighter, or that the referee got carried away.  However, this brand of win is the most dubious.  A rematch would normally serve no purpose, but Despaigne was thoroughly outboxed and beaten up in his last major outing… against Ismail Sillakh.  He needed a confidence builder.

Andre Berto is getting another crack at Victor Ortiz, in a similar turn of events.  Ortiz may have beaten Berto last time, but Berto is hungrier, and Ortiz is likely feeling a bit let down after his embarrassing loss to Floyd Mayweather.  The thinking behind Despagne’s people, as well as Ortiz’ might be that a good confidence builder following a defeat would be to put your fighter in with someone they have beaten before.  This logic is simple, yet you are not calling on your fighter to cover any new ground.  They have a lot to lose, yet little to gain.

 

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FEBRUARY BOXING PREDICTIONS, Part 2

FEBRUARY BOXING PREDICTIONS, Part 2

Yoan Pablo Hernandez vs. Steve Cunningham 2
The first fight highlighted all weaknesses, but that is what a Cunningham fight is.  He rarely dominanted, and never gets dominated.  Every fight is an adventure, and I do not believe this to be any different.  Although both men have the same promoter, Hernandez is where the money has been spent, and where the interests lie.  The winner of this fight still ahs to get past Troy Ross (no easy task), but uinification with Marco Huck, and the Ring championship should be what happens by years end.  Hernandez will box more carefully this time, and not even press the advantage should he hurt Cunningham.  This may be end of the line for the underappreciated Philly champ.  Hernandez by split decision.

Andre Berto vs. Victor Ortiz 2
Ortiz won before, so there is no reason to believe he cannot win again.  There are, however, plenty of reasons to believe he WILL not win again.  Berto was hit behin gthe ear early on, and that looked to affect him the entire fight.  Without that equilibrium-alterer, the bout may have been quite different.  He also looked absolutely tenacious against Jan Zaveck, and he is quite hungry again. Ortiz is likely viewing this bout as a consoltation bout for his disapoiting performance against Mayweather, and is probably unmotivated.  He doesn’t have much to win, and not even much more to lose.  His pride may carry him uinto the late rounds, and he will hurt Berto again, but tenacity will make the difference.  Berto picks up a late round TKO, probably from cuts or swelling.

Marcos Maidana vs. Devon Alexander
Alexander is coming off of a close win, and an embarrassing loss.  He ahs the pressure to deliver in St. Louis , the most unforgiving hometown in recent memory (Alexander has had two close shaves there, and Spinks has lost all 3 titles at home). 

 

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FEBRUARY BOXING PREDICTIONS, Part 1

FEBRUARY BOXING PREDICTIONS, Part 1
Nobuhiro Ishida vs. Paul Williams
Ishida hasn’t really shown us much since his suirprise KO win over James Kirkland.  Willims hasn’t shown us anything impressive sicne his surprise KO loss to Sergio Martinez.  Both may be entirely different fighters than was the case 15 months ago, but I believe we have no choice but to look into their recent pasts.  Williams is the guy who owns a legit (albeit close) win voer the middleweight champion of the world.  Ishida lost a close decision to the younger less talented brother of Canelo Alvarez.  It should be interesting while it lasts, but I believe this is the fight where a return to normalcy can eb expected.  Williams by late round KO.

Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. vs. Marcio Antonio Rubio
Rubio is a live underdog, as he proved against David Lemieux, but Chavez simply has too many assets to lose this fight.  Some of those are extrernal… Freddie Roach, the Chavez name, Top Rank judges and referees, etc.  Rubio has to know that if goes the limit, eh will noyt get the decision.  Also, if he gets even slightly staggered, the bout will be waved off.  It is taking place in texas, where the father and son team of Dickie and Laurence Cole run thigns, and are about as corrupt and untrustworthy as they come.  Rubio’s only plan for success is a one-punch knockout, and Chavez has too good a chin to depend on that.  This will be a good test of how well cahvez can outbox a man with a similar height and reach, and he has passed all other tests.  No reason to think he cannot this time.  Chavez by decision.

 

 

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IT’S NOT WHINING IF IT WORKS

IT’S NOT WHINING IF IT WORKS

Ok, now that the message boards and Twitter are lighting up with scribes and fans complaining about the Amir Khan – Lamont Peterson conspiracy allegations, let me just remind everyone of something.  This is a corrupt world, and an even more corrupt sport.  I am inclined to believe any allegations until proven false. I know our justice system operates in the opposite fashion, and I am not going to suggest it do otherwise, but let’s look at the facts, as they are coming out.  A representative, who was not credentialed for the fight, was handling scorecards.  He was also celebrating with one fighter after the match.  The scorecards have also allegedly been mysteriously “misplaced”.

As far as I am concerned, that is enough evidence for a conviction, let alone a trial.  Amir Khan is not even asking for that.  He is not asking that the decision (a bad one in my view) be overturned, even though there are substantial grounds for him to do so.  That would actually diminish both men’s legacies.  Avenging a defeat is more memorable and valuable to one’s legacy than calling back a defeat.  That will damage you in people’s eyes.  And why rob Peterson of a chance to say he was world champion for a while… if it ends up helping you both?

I believe Khan can win the rematch, with a different referee and judges.  That is why he is making a lot of noise about the controversy.  Nobody wants to work hard for something, only to have it taken away in corrupt fashion.  Let me also remind the fans that there is no reward for silence. 

 

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Boxing Coach Tom McKay Stunned By TRS Cancer Drug Cancellation Notification

Boxing Coach Tom McKay Stunned By TRS Cancer Drug Cancellation Notification
Coach Thomas McKay of El Paso, Texas has been battling aggressive cancer for some 15 years. Tom is a Marine Corps Veteran, a former policeman, a science teacher for twenty five years, a boxing coach for 45 years, and an author. He is the man who formed a 501 c3 hall of fame to raise money for children with cancer, a family man and a cancer speaker. Originally given less than a few years to live locally and by   M.D. Andersen Cancer Center in Houston, Texas, Tom sought out a novel treatment.  He got extremely lucky in finding Dr. Robert Leibowitz of 2080 Century Park East in Los Angeles. Dr. Bob, a graduate of Harvard, had only a couple of years prior to Tom’s visit, created his patented ‘Triple Androgen Blockade’ treatment. When it did work and most of the time it did for all patients, Dr. Bob would follow up three or four years hence with low-level chemotherapy specially designed for each individual patient. After that, maintenance on really severe cases involved a special cocktail that Dr. Bob also created for each individual patient. Assisting Dr. Bob is the very capable oncologist, Dr. Jeffrey Turner.

In Tom’s case, he has done wonders on Dr. Bob’s protocols and his main two cancer drugs the past few years have been Revlimid and Leukine. They have been so beneficial that Tom has been able to train some boxers even though he is 77 years old come October 2nd, 2011. However, TRS Healthcare (For retired teachers of Texas) has suddenly done an about face in helping provide for these drugs, likely due to the insane rise in pharmaceutical cancer drugs, and some kind of a less then qualified board or a director concerned over costs, and sent Tom a letter advising him that TRS was no longer going to pay for his cancer drug Revlimid. A few months ago Tom was cut off of Revlimid and a month ago Tom received another TRS letter, this time stating that he will only get Leukine until February of 2012. Of course, that could change as his oncologists are always ready to fight for their clients. Those letters are mean, cold calculated and insinuating that Tom might have to face the consequences of the return of aggressive cancer. In short, that is like a judge passing a death sentence on a sick person who with his oncologist has fought this deadly disease in a manner that should help change the standard protocols that most cancer patients receive.

 

 

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STRAIT JABS

STRAIT JABS
I like the excitement I feel from Friday Night Fights coming back each January, but isn’t one of the biggest pluses to boxing that we have no season?  Sure, big fights are timed around late February, early May, September, and mid November when no other big sport is ending, but we pretty much go all year round.  If you have to stop FNF for College Football, why not bring back the Wednesday night fights for a fall series?

Speaking of Fall Series, I liked the shortened version of Cotto vs. Margarito, 24/7.  We have seen each one before on 24/7, therefore why rehash it.  Perhaps this can work in future PPV build-ups, so we don’t have to rewatch everything we already know about Mayweather and Pacquiao.

Speaking of Margarito, can you think of anyone besides Mike Tyson who has made more money after already proving himself washed up?  We should all have a retirement package like this.

Speaking of retirement, Vitali Klitschko should wind things down.  Given his age, knees, and back… he’s going to end up with yet a third loss due to injury, in a fight he was winning.  His 16 year career, of losing maybe 12 rounds in his entire career, is already extraordinary.  There is nothing left needed for his legacy.

 

 

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2011 YEAR END BOXING AWARDS, PART 2

2011 YEAR END BOXING AWARDS, PART 2
Now, I know this category is no longer the exclusive property of ‘Ring’ Magazine.  Nearly every writer puts in a list, and I am no different.  It has not been a stellar year for boxing.  The big matchup eluded us, while belt situations only got muddier.  Martinez is still middleweight champion, but landed no big fights.  Khan and Bradley may now never happen, and the Klitschkos scarcely lost a round.  Maybe I can at least create a new catgory or two, but familiar names are involved.  2011 did offer some surprises and some thrills.

Bad Decision of the Year:
Erislandy Lara vs. Paul Williams.
Felix Sturm is in this category twice with his “win” and “draw” over the 4M crew: Matthew Macklin and Martin Murray.  However, he could rob 12 fighters and still not come off as bad as this decision did.  As wide as 10-2 in some circles, this one was even surprising in a sport which can hardly surprise anyone anymore.  Williams was cleanly outboxed all night, and even his corner knew he was way behind.  A rematch will not be forthcoming, as his supposed genius manager definitely slipped up by letting another slick southpaw in front of ‘The Punisher”.  Honorable mention goes to Robert Helenius over Dereck Chisora.

Round of the Year
James Kirkland vs. Alfredo Angulo, Round 1.
Andre Berto and Victor Ortiz’s round 6 would be hard to top, especially when you can make Emmanuel Steward exclaim “My God!”  However, I cannot recall a round when I was erroneously certain that both fighters were going to be KO’d.  The referee saved this one, and I thank him for it.  Angulo looked quite rusty, but after hurting Kirkland , he was not allowed to be.



 

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2011 YEAR END BOXING AWARDS, PART 1

2011 YEAR END BOXING AWARDS, PART 1

Now, I know this category is no longer the exclusive property of ‘Ring’ Magazine.  Nearly every writer puts in a list, and I am no different.  It has not been a stellar year for boxing.  The big matchup eluded us, while belt situations only got muddier.  Martinez is still middleweight champion, but landed no big fights.  Khan and Bradley may now never happen, and the Klitschkos scarcely lost a round.  Maybe I can at least create a new catgory or two, but familiar names are involved.  2011 did offer some surprises and some thrills.

Fighter of the Year
Andre Ward.  With two dominating (despite what two judges scored) wins over championship level opposition, in Carl Froch and Arthur Abraham, Andre Ward gets the nod with consistency.  He hasn’t had a KO in quite a while, and will not likely have many more.  However, he seems to effortlessly beat top-tier opposition again and again.  Ever since his gold-medal run in 2004, Ward seems to accomplish things that most American fighters have difficulty with.  He gets foreign judges to score for him.  He sells boxing tickets in the Bay Area.  He beats European fighters.  He is also a multi-styled fighter who does not appear confused when implementing that.  No matter how young he is, he always looks like the boss in there.

Fight of the Year
Delvin Rodriguez D10 Pawel Wolak.  Rodriguez has had a hard time with judges, and does not trust fights going to the cards.  Wolak is an all action fighter, no matter the circumstances.  This was one of those great fights that everyone knew would be great going in.  Something out of the ordinary would have to happen for this to not be a barn burner.  While the up and down drama of Berto vs. Ortiz was not present, the non-stop action puts this above and beyond anything else that happened in 2011.

 

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Khan vs. Peterson, Worth a Second Look?

Khan vs. Peterson, Worth a Second Look?

This is a hard one for me, but I have quite a history of telling fans, writers, and bloggers alike not to allow their fandom to doctor their opinion.  Of course it will, and only published writers are ultimately held to any level of journalistic integrity, but it’s nice to see the effort made.  In this day of mass communication and information, an unbiased call of the action one has witnessed is what sets an intelligent, informed opinion apart from a glorified stadium sign-maker.

I was cheering for Pacquiao to defeat Marquez.  He did so.  However, there was quite the uproar, and I made sure to watch, and rewatch the fight, to see what my score was.  This is a practice in which I have engaged, ever since the Leonrad-Hagler match.  I watched that fight in real-time when I was 11 years old, and at least a dozen times since.  At first, I was defending my close scorecard, as many people at the time were saying Leonard clearly won.

People don’t like to admit that now, but as time has passed, Hagler’s legend has only grown since his retirement, while Leonard may have tarnished his a bit with subsequent performances.  In recent years, I have had to defend the fact that I had Leonard winning at all… which he did, and I still believe that.  I had Leonard by one point, but many people now say that Hagler won.  I had a similar score for Pacquiao-Marquez.  Manny by one point.  I have had to make sure, but I do believe that.

 

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CHISORA VS. V. KLITSCHKO, GLAD TO SEE IT

CHISORA VS. V. KLITSCHKO, GLAD TO SEE IT
I will believe it is really going to happen when I see it, but I like the Vitali Klitschko vs. Dereck Chisora match-up.  Not that I think Chisora will win in any fashion except a Vitali injury, but he has hung tough with two big men, and now he is getting a shot at one of the best of them all.  Normally, I would complain that a fighter coming off two losses (not withstanding the six-round filler bout Chisora won last month) would be getting a title shot, but let’s look at the circumstances.

Last year round this time, Chisora was teased twice into thinking he was getting a shot at Wladimir Klitschko, only to have big Wlad pull out numerous times.  When the younger man finally did defend his undisputed title against a smaller Brit, it was David haye.  Granted, Chisora deserved that title shot even less than did Haye, but in the interim, Chisora has made his name known.  He came in out of shape and uninspired against Tyson Fury, and still managed to win a few rounds.  Showing how much he learned in that fight, he came in motivated against heir-apparent Robert Helenius.

Helenius had so impressed us, that many had him as not only the one to supplant Povetkin as number one contender, but even as the one to successfully challenge the Klitschkos.  He scored highlight reel KOs over durable fighters, and has the right size to match-up evenly with the Ukrainian champions.  According to all I’ve read who saw/scored the Helenius-Chisora match, Chisora was robbed outright.  Some scores were as wide as 10 rounds to 2.  Not since … ok, well every recent Felix Sturm match… has such a bad score been rendered.

 

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RING MAGAZINE... A DISGRACEFUL ISSUE

RING MAGAZINE...  A DISGRACEFUL ISSUE
A few of the writers, and especially the editors, have really dropped the ball on the 2011 rankings issue of "Ring Magazine".  Never have I seen this low of a quality effort by a prestigious print magazine.  Print journalism has the advantage of not needing to be a 'right now" phenomena.  Web editors may miss many things, because there is a rotating deadline of "immediately!"  This is not true of a monthly print magazine, which makes the following editor blunders so surprising and cringe-worthy.

Did you really think you could print an entire article about U.S. Olympians, that was based on false information?  There were no U.S. Olympic Gold Medalists between 1992 and 2004?  Have you ever heard of David Reid?  It was embarrassing enough that a paid writer would make this error, but for an editor to miss it is unacceptable.  Also, did you check the records of the 'honorable mention' fighters?  Amazing how not one of them was correct, and most of the fighters ended up with more KO's than total fights.  There were other mistakes, including which belt, etc, but I know I am not the only one to complain about this, so I'll spare you reading the whole list once again.

One other problem, and this is my opinion rather than established fact, is that the Ring ratings are much more affected by the alphabet belts than you let on.  Maybe that should be an argument with the old guard as well, but you're in charge now, and should do an overhaul where it matters, on the rankings.  The 'Ring's' championship policy is supposed to grant one champion, in order to clear up confusion about the roster of belts out there.  Maybe they do not matter at the championship level, but a glance into the top ten show that they clearly do make some difference.

 

 

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MAYWEATHER OPTIONS

MAYWEATHER OPTIONS
In the wake of Manny Pacquiao’s close shave with Juan Manuel Marquez, everyone is talking about Floyd Mayweather’s next move, as opposed to Manny’s.  It must be nice to see your pound-for-pound supremacy returned, while sitting on your couch.  While some of the luster is taken off of Pacquiao vs. Mayweather, most of the fixed eyes on Floyd, are the result of another question being answered.  Pacquiao’s next fight should undoubtedly be a 4th with Marquez.  Even if Manny beats Mayweather, there would still be the lingering Marquez question.  Mayweather, however, has a host of options.  Some lucrati, some challenging, some both, some neither.  Let’s take a wild guess which one he will choose.  First, let’s explore a few options:

Robert Guerrero – We’re not sure who is entering and pushing his name into the sweepstakes, but it seems that his inclusion is dependant on that magical May 5 date.  We’re pretty sure Pacquiao will fight then, if the opponent in Mexican (Cinco de Mayo and a sheep-like Latino base is what’s being exploited here).  The angle most likely played will be all that Guerrero has overcome: small town, wife cancer, injuries, no-contests, avenged defeats, etc.  He’s a bilingual Chicano, and an easy sell to the public, who would like to see how big a star they can make out of someone with no chance to win.  They just did that with Ortiz.  Time to move on.  Chances: Average

Saul Canelo Alvarez – Another way to play the Mexican angle, and for far more money.  Floyd would be painted as the “Mexican Assassin”, much like his uncle Roger was 25 years earlier, and Alvarez would become a Chavez-like hero if he was able to topple him.  The only problem with this is that Golden Boy has put a lot of time/money into Alvarez.  Ortiz had already established himself as exciting yet vulnerable, so he could lose and retain marketability.  Alvarez is only gaining respect now, and it will disappear if he is embarrassingly outboxed by the smaller man, which is what will happen.  They can make a killing off of Alvarez without Mayweather.  Chances: Not likely

 

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FORGOTTEN BROTHERS, Volume 1

FORGOTTEN BROTHERS, Volume 1
Leon and Michael, Vitali and Vladimir, Rafael and Juan Manuel.  We know the last names without them being said.  If you are a true boxing fan, you will even recognize Gabriel and Rafael, as well as Gaby and Orlando.  It is rare enough to have one world champion in the family. To have two is super rare, and gives credence to geneticists who claim that athletic ability is 90% in the blood.

However, for every pair of siblings with competitive accolades, there are those who do not quite match up.  I don’t mean fighters with brothers who never fought.  That is the majority of them.  I mean fighters whose brothers got nowhere close to the level of their famous sibling, but did make an attempt.  Some of them did pretty well themselves.  Perhaps we wouldn’t be forgetting them, if not for that enormous shadow.  Here are the first few entries, in part one of a two part story.

Rigoberto Alvarez – He is the first of two men on this list, who actually can call themselves world champions. In the category of fame, however, they is being currently dwarfed.  Unlike Omar Chavez, Rigoberto cannot even blame the name.  It is the unbeaten record of his more famous brother, along with the complexion, that pushes the older Alvarez into the background.  Saul “Canelo” Alvarez is a star to such an extent that many do not even realize he has a brother in the same weight class.  This Alvarez won his belt from James Kirkland conqueror Nobuhiro Ishida, and lost it to American Austin Trout.  It looks like he is already taking on better competition than his younger brother.  His career is nowhere near over, but he’d have to accomplish a lot to overtake “Canelo” in the eyes of the fans.

 

 

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STRAIT JABS

STRAIT JABS
When are the Showtime commentators going to tell Antonio Tarver that Vic Darchinyan’s name is not Victor?  Vic is short for Vakhtang.

Speaking of Vic for short, I’d always applauded Darchinyan’s ability to learn from losses.  I think, however, he has finally suffered his “Hamed” loss.  Which means that he lost from being inferior; from being figured out… and there is nothing he can do about it.  Kudos to him for admitting it.

Speaking of admitting it… Agbeko did not help his cause by not admitting he was soundly beaten by Mares.  What did he think the judges were going to do, ignore the sharp, crisp punches by Mares, and reward his looping misses?  When he jabbed and threw the right hand, he won the rounds.  He did it in maybe 3 or 4 rounds.  It was his fight to control, and he failed.  Mares kept doing what worked.

Speaking of what worked, this was a fight that answered all questions.  Yes, Agbeko is a perpetual victim (in mentality), and yes, Abner Mares is a very dirty fighter.  Mares is the worst kind of dirty, too.  Joel Casamayor dirty.  Even when it is not necessary, and he has shown superiority, he still feels the compulsive need to hit borderline, or hold behind the head, or punch the kidneys.  It seems to be the result of insecurity, and that is hard to cure.

 

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IMPRESSED WITH THE LONGEVITY

IMPRESSED WITH THE LONGEVITY
There are a handful of fighters today, who happily surprise me, by continuing on.  I don’t mean fighters like Antwun Echols, Evander Holyfield, or Vivian Harris.  Those are fighters who should stop, but can’t get the hint.  I am talking about fighters that remain vital, long after we thought they would slip, and stop.  Let’s look at a few:

Bernard Hopkins – Not only did we think he’d be done by now, we thought he’d be in the hall by now!  It was impressive that he was able to beat Trinidad at 36!  That was his career starting, not culminating nicely, as we all thought might be happening.  His impressive credentials since then include reaching 20 defenses, stopping the hot streaks of Winky Wright and Kelly Pavlik, and twice winning the legitimate Light Heavyweight championship.  He’s not even done yet.  It may look as if he is, but we’ve made that mistake too many times before.

Guillermo Jones - Most inactive Don King fighters, would have rotted on the vine long ago.  Jones has never been a picture of activity, but it took him 3 years to receive a mandated shot at the WBA Cruiserweight title, and 2 more years to make his first defense.  Yet he continues to win, and win impressively.  He tops it off by continuously looking as if the layoffs do not affect him at all.  The tall Panamanian came closer than anyone, except maybe Victor Polo, to winning a world title 3 times (1 Sd, 2 draws), and now that he has won a belt, he seems to only be hitting his stride at 38.  Too bad the Sauerlands control the top 2 fighters in the division, neither of whom seems likely to risk anything for a bout with Jones.

 

 

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NEW YEARS EVE PREDICTIONS

NEW YEARS EVE PREDICTIONS
Tavoris Cloud vs. Zsolt Erdei
A battle of unbeatens, for questionably the number one position in the Light Heavyweight division.  Dawson and Hopkins may have unfinished business.  Pascal may be awauiting the winner, but the boxing world is tiring of these 3, and looking to the next big 175lbs star.  Things are too exciting for 168lb-ers to step up, so we await the anointing of the next hot contender/belt holder from within the division.  Cleverly and Shumenov have tried to garner interest, but their low level of opposition keeps them on the outside looking in for awhile.  The winner of this fight is the next big thing, and will be able to call out the names.

This is tough one to call.  On the one hand, Erdei has the longer unbeaten run, is arguably the linear champion still at 175lbs, and has shown skill and versatility.  Cloud, however, is young, hungry, powerful, and far more active recently.  The x-factor here may be quality of opposition.  Since his 2004 win over Julio Gonzalez, Erdei did not exactly face a who’s who of 175lb talent.  That has much to do with his promoter at the time, Universum.  He made the jump, like stablemate Dzindziruk, but it may have been too late.

Erdei has shown the ability outbox sluggers, but that was years ago, and he has never taken on the firepower of a Cloud.  That will likely make the difference, as Erdei’s counterpunching skills will have to be perfect… while Cloud can make mistakes, and still wear down his prey.  I’ve never seen Erdei hurt or cut badly, and Cloud’s power is overrated at this level, but sustained pressure should force Erdei into a defensive shell for most of the bout.  Cloud by unanimous decision.



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DECEMBER PREDICTIONS, PART 2

DECEMBER PREDICTIONS, PART 2
Miguel Cotto vs. Antonio Margarito
The fight that has been buried in a wash of great late-year action, has the potential to be the most action packed.  These are two warriors who gave everything they had when they had a lot.  Now that both are diminished, they may give even more.  Margarito has not likely lost his chin, but his skin will probably never be the same after the Pacquiao fight.  He is making money because Bob Arum’s ego has to show the world that it doesn’t matter if his fighter is a criminal.  Bob is bigger and stronger than the law, and he says so.  Nanananana!  Margarito is Mexican, and that sells.  Add a Puerto Rican to that mix, and the ka-ching is even louder than an annoying British fan’s horn section.  Cotto was a better fighter than Margarito before, and still is.  The question is can a plaster-less Margarito still put enough pressure to collapse Cotto’s will and body?  Both men have taken beatings from Pacquiao since their last meeting, and added better trainers.  The difference is that Margarito’s trainer, Robert Garcia, has already been shown to not be able to adjust the “Tijuana Tornado” mid-fight.  Cotto also has far more tools with which to respond to Emmanuel Steward’s instructions.  Cotto also has had the confidence-building of solid wins since their last meeting, while Margarito has only another beat-down loss to Mosley for his memories.  Mid-way through the fight, Cotto will be sitting on a lead, while Margarito will again be trying to go the distance in order to prove something.  Cotto by decision, in a fight that starts great, but ends ok.

Amir Khan vs. Lamont Peterson
Peterson may have the home-town advantage, but it will be something else that gives him a chance at winning.  With a fighter who gives him distance and room to breathe, he can rattle off good combinations.  Peterson’s only blemishes are aginst Victor Ortiz and Timothy Bradley.  Much like his brother’s loss to Brandon Rios, those losses look less bad as the opponent accomplishes even more.  The main problem I see if that Peterson would have to fight a perfect fight.  He is not a big puncher, and figures to be hit harder by Khan than he was against Bradley.

 

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STRAIT JABS

STRAIT JABS
Timothy Bradley and Amir Khan are young, vital, and the two best 140lb-ers in the world.  Everyone is on a mad dash to the next division lately.  Nobody is getting Pacquiao now, except Mayweather, Marquez, or the political scene of Phillipines.  Stick around, guys.  Create your own money.

Speaking of creating your own money, Mikkel Kessler is paid an insane amount to face anyone he wants in Denmark .  Rather than dig up old Yanks like Danny Green or Denis Lebedev, or abandon his money base entirely to test himself in the U.S,, like Zsolt Erdei and Sergei Dzindziruk… Kessler has balanced it well between cashing in at home, and testing himself against legit top competition on the road.  Now, if only he can get healthy long enough to re-enter the mix at 168lbs.  Gut tells me he still has enough left to beat Taylor, or perhaps Dirrell (in a “back from injury” tournament).

Speaking of back from injury, is Andre Dirrell ever going to be able to fight again?  I’m no neurologist, but I haven’t heard of brain injuries being something that heals.

 

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DECEMBER PREDICTIONS, PART 1

DECEMBER PREDICTIONS, PART 1
Carl Froch vs. Andre Ward
It would not be the biggest upset if Froch won the fight, but I’m struggling to envision that scenario.  It would have to come in the way that both Vernon Forrest beat Shane Mosley, and the way he lost to Ricardo Mayorga.  We’d need to see a weakness that had not yet revealed itself.  Either Ward’s chin would have to go, or he’d have to suffer an injury that changed his mindset.  The cut could re-open, but I don’t think a focused fighter like Ward would let that bother him too much.  Froch could land heavy artillery, but he’s not a one-punch knockout artist, and I find it hard to imagine Froch catching Ward more than once or twice.  Many people feel Andre Dirrell already laid out the blueprint for a fighter like Ward to beat Froch, and Ward is probably a better overall fighter than Dirrell.  He’s also shown the ability to win at all different paces, while Froch needs his space, and looks quite uncomfortable when he does not have it.  Froch is fairly durable, yet he will probably get stung just enough to keep him honest.  Ward is not a finisher, either.  Ward by unanimous decision.

Joseph Agbeko vs. Abner Mares 2
Agbeko has suffered a handful of knockdowns in his career, all erroneously scored.  He has bad luck with officials, while Mares has had great luck.  Even with all those pluses in Mares’ corner, he barely beat Agbeko the last time.  Provided that fairness is insisted upon, I think Mares will have a rare foot-off-the-gas moment, and that is all it will take for Agbeko.  Donaire is gone now, so there is no prize awaiting the winner.  Except of course the winner of Darchinyan-Moreno, but that is not exciting anyone… yet.  Agbeko has the motivation to be a 3-time champion, and do it the old fashioned way, by avenging the loss to the man who took the belt from him each time.  

 

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BOXING NEEDED THAT

BOXING NEEDED THAT

Lucian Bute’s dominating win over Glen Johnson was impressive, as was Peter Quillin’s dominance over Craig McEwan.  Unfortunately for the two of them, two things will overshadow their victories.  First off, the story post-fight will be more of what happened to their respective opponents.  Craig McEwan was visibly hurt in the sixth round of the Quillin fight, and had lost every round, but was given absolutely no chance to defend himself.  The referee stepped in laughably early to stop the bout.  In a measurement against Andy Lee, it seems to be a good victory for Quillin, and he was likely on his way to a later TKO or decision win, anyway.  However, no matter of mere dominance would measure up against what was coming in the main event.

For Bute, he was the main event, but most of the discussion will be about Glen Johnson’s either not showing up, getting old overnight, or making a ridiculous strategy error.  To abandon the hook was bad enough, but Johnson also spent the bout circling the wrong way, and trying to stay and jab at a distance.  If those 3 mistakes aren’t bad enough, he also showed the failure to realize the futility of this strategy, and made no adjustments.  If he is simply no longer able to do what he does best, or if Bute was too good for him to do so, that much is not clear… but his behavior is distracting us from Bute being only the second man ever to dominate Johnson.

Bute’s win shares the spotlight for another reason.  Pier-Olivier Cote, a Quebec City raised prospect made his HBO debut, with an exhilarating 2nd round KO of Jorge Teron. Not a world beater, Teron went rounds with Brandon Rios, and was at least expected to be competitive.  He also had a height advantage over Cote , something the Canadian should not be used to giving up to that level. 

 

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STRAIT JABS

STRAIT JABS

It's not as if Don King fighters are super-busy... but why have Francisco Palacios and Guillermo Jones wait around any longer?  They should be fighting each other.. not tune-ups.  Just hold your tourament outside of Sauerland, and get a real network to cover it.  Who do you think James Toney and Antonio Tarver are going to come to?  German promoters to get screwed like Cunningham?  or Don King, where they can get screwed right here at home.  I don't think Cunnigham wants to stay in Germany much longer, either.

Speaking of Toney, if he makes weight, he's already won.  Something tells me that if Jones was able to hang tough with Lebedev, while having only minimized reflexes, Toney's better chin will get things done here.  He still might be too old, but he was good at cruiser, and I'm starting to think he could pull it off.

Speaking of making weight... is no one else going to bring up the NYSAC not allowing Donaire and Narvaez to be weighed by the HBO crew?  Why on earth would that be, unless there was something to hide? Looks like Joey Gamache's lawsuit for a similar incident involving his fight wtih Gatti, may have actually accomplished very little.

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NO ENCORE, PLEASE

NO ENCORE, PLEASE
We are all motivated when a hall-of-fame fighter can turn back the clock for one last great performance… but more often than not, they do not simply take a bow, and move on.  Much of my writing has to do with when to say when.  It may seem like an odd thing for a fight fan to care about, but I‘ll tell you this.  There are many good fighters out there not getting TV or promoter attention, which translates to fan attention.  Much of that has to do with older, more well-known fighters, never stepping aside.  The meal is over, and the check is paid, so get up!  We need the table!  Erik Morales should be listening now.  His “belt”-winning win in his last fight should be his exit.  Instead he will most certainly go on until he embarrasses himself.  When will they learn?  Here are a few who didn’t.

Mark Too Sharp Johnson – After dominating the Flyweight division for years, the D.C. slickster moved up to Super Fly and continued to dominate.  After suffering two defeats at the hands of then unheralded Rafael Marquez, he rebounded with a win over then unbeaten Fernando Montiel for another world title belt.  This HBO-televised victory would have been a fitting end to his great career.  He was in his mid-30's, had successful businesses running, and did not need the fight game.  Instead, he hung out a bit too long.  Plagued by weight problems and inacitivity, he ended his career with two stoppage losses to Ivan Hernandez and Jhonny Gonzalez.

George Foreman – His record for 'oldest champion' may be gone, but the events that surrounded it guaranteed that his triumph remains one of the greatest in boxing history.  Nearly 20 years to the day after his epic loss to Muhammad Ali, and after a ten year hiatus from the ring, 45 year old “Big” George KO’s Michael Moorer to win the legit heavyweight title.   His career momentum afterwards, however, was bizarre.  Questionable decision wins over Axel Schulz and Lou Savarese followed, in addition to one dominating win over Crawford Grimsley. 

 

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STRAIT JABS

STRAIT JABS
Just when you think we’re done with these defensive minded, good-enough performances, here comes Omar Narvaez.  When will these guys get it through their heads, it is no victory to go the distance, if you stink out the joint?  Michael Katsidis gets KO’d.  Ditto Jorge Linares.  We want to see them again, because they are exciting!

Speaking of exciting, California referees need to calm the hell down.  I’ve said this before, and I’ll say it again.  They, with almost 100% accuracy, stop fights too damn quick.  Jorge Linares was bleeding, and a bit hurt… but he was way in front, with only a round and a half to go.  He deserved better than the Raul Caiz wave-off, AS HE WAS SLIPPING A PUNCH, AND COUNTERING!!  I am disgusted that no one is saying anything.

Speaking of not saying anything, shouldn’t Jean Pascal be a bit louder about the Dawson-Hopkins overturn?  This almost certainly means there will be a rematch of a fight no one was enjoying, and a delay on his Dawson return.  Not to mention all the delays that a protest will cause.  Hopkins ’ win at age 46 was inspirational, but it is holding the light heavyweight division hostage at this point.

 

 

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HOPKINS – DAWSON , BEND OVER

HOPKINS – DAWSON , BEND OVER
I knew the moment Hopkins hit the floor that he would not be getting up and fighting anymore.  Gone are the days of Genaro Hernandez heroic rise from the floor to beat Azumah Nelson, after being fouled.  Gone are the days of Tyrell Biggs fighting for 6 rounds with a dislocated shoulder and winning the fight!  They are gone for several reasons.  Not all can be blamed on the fighters, either.  The world around them has changed.

True, that toughness menatilty is a bit gone from sports in general, but the fact that athletes and entertainers have to share the spotlight is partly to blame as well.  Referees and doctors are stopping fights… sometimes for legitimate health reasons, but also in the age where everyone is famous, they get the spotlight.  They, like everyone else, are trying to be stars now, and love stopping fights themselves to steal the spotlight.

Everyone was talking Russell Mora after the Mares-Agbeko fight, and don’t think for two seconds that “fair but firm” Joe Cortez hasn’t learned that no press is bad press, after Mayweather-Ortiz.  We also live in a consequence-free environment for the most part, where accountability and come-uppance are not expected.  Referee Marlon Wright seems to be working a ton after screwing Librado Andrade.  Ditto Judge Eugenia Williams.  The Jersey judges who screwed Erislandy Lara will work again.  Mark my words.  Above all… remember this: Hopkins will fight again… and on PPV.  And we will buy it.

 

 

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NOVEMBER PREDICTIONS, PART 2

NOVEMBER PREDICTIONS, PART 2

Lucien Bute vs. Glen Johnson
This is one is not tough to call.  If you’re for real, you beat Johnson.  If you’re not, you don’t.  Bute has already proven he is for real.  The questions that remain are of chin and stamina.  These have not been tested since the first Andrade fight, since Bute has been so dominant and powerful of late.  Johnson will provide a test for both of those attributes, while still putting a W on Bute ’s record.  Bute by an 8-4 decision that may be scored even wider.

Timothy Bradley vs. Joel Casamayor
Casamayor vs. Bradley? This one will be dirty.  The old tricks are among the last things to go, and Casamayor will need them.  He may have found new legs recently, but it won’t be enough to take out a determined Bradley.  Unless “Desert Storm has garnered some serious ring rust, we can expect him to dominate the old Cuban champion.  While a knockout wouldn’t surprise me, I will never pick one with Bradley… Bradley by UD or late round TD.

Danny Green vs,. Krystoff Wlodarczyk
These last two fights are shameful, because a fighter is being rewarded for a loss with a shot at a belt.  Shame on the WBC for both of them.  Tarver and Molina should be fighting for titles, not Cintron and Green.  Yet in a belt that has recently added diamond, emeritus, silver, interim, and in-recess to their vocabulary, nothing is surprising.  I would normally pick the Pole to retain his title, since Green is coming off a bad beating, but he’s such a pretender to the throne, that I cannot in good consciousness pick him. 

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NOVEMBER PREDICTIONS, PART 1

NOVEMBER PREDICTIONS, PART 1

James Toney vs. Denis Lebedev
Well, for all Roy Jones has slipped, he still has a bizarre hold over past opponents.  Once Roy holds a win over you, even if you go on to achieve your own greatness, you never seem to forget it, and end up chasing a ghost.  Hopkins , Tarver, and now Toney… all chasing either Jones himself, or other Jones conquerors.  To prove what?  I am not sure.  Toney might just be trying to prove he can still make Cruiserweight.  Toney vs. Tarver would be a fun fight at any weight, and the winner might sneak into a title shot at Cruiser or Heavy.  Toney would earn a number 1 ranking with the win, but my gut tells me this is the fight where he ages too much.  Lebedev by narrow UD.

Alfredo Angulo Vs. James Kirkland
Many people think this fight would have been more impressive before Angulo’s loss to Cintron, and subsequent exile.  It definitely would have been better before Kirkland was imprisoned, then KO’d in the first round by light-hitting Noburo Ishida, right?  I disagree. This is one of those fights that will actually be even better because both men have something to prove.  Trainer and promoter difficulties, losses, exiles for different reasons, etc.  The 154-160 landscape has moved on without them to create ‘Viva Mexico ’ stars, but are both still wide open besides them.  Neither man would beat Sergio Martinez, but they are live with anyone else.  Their recent losses will also make them more marketable to avoidance-monsters like Alvarez and Chavez Jr.  Any pick would be logical here, because each man will be forced out of a comfort zone.  However, my guess is, much like Rios-Antillon, it’s going to come down to chin.  Angulo has one.  Kirkland doesn’t.  Angulo by 4th round KO in a wild slugfest.

Juan Manuel Marquez vs. Manny Pacquiao 3
The third installment of this trilogy isn’t coming too late chronologically, as it’s only been 7 years since the first match-up, yet as far as what has transpired in the interim, the two are worlds apart. 

 

 

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NO NEED FOR A REMATCH!

NO NEED FOR A REMATCH!
Well, Floyd Mayweather has another victory, and for the first time since 1998, he is a KO winner in the early rounds.  While the fight’s ending was bizarre, I do not see any controversy.  The Golden Boy execs are for sure going to try to spin their magic, so that all may go the bank once again.  There is, however, no real controversy to anyone looking at the fight through unbiased lenses.  I do not fault Mayweather or Joe Cortez for any of their actions, and I definitely do not see the need for a rematch.

First off, Ortiz was the only guilty party.  Why should he be rewarded with another payday when he was the only one who did anything illegal?  He was frustrated, and had already resorted to intentional headbutts by the 4th round.  This is because of reason number 2: Mayweather had proven his superiority.  It’s true that the longer a fight goes on, the more likely it is that anything could happen, but THIS fight was Ortiz’ chance to make that happen.  Again, he does not deserve a second fight because he broke the rules, and then for looked at the ref when he should have been defending himself.  That logic is twisted.  He was on his way to losing and he knew it… hence the headbutt.

Reason number 3: Joe Cortez did a pretty good job.  True, his glance away was ill-timed… but refs do need to check in with time-keepers in situations like this, and time was in.  He penalized Ortiz appropriately, and saw the important things happen, which were two legal punches.  Floyd isn’t even guilty of bad sportsmanship, because he accepted Ortiz’s hug.  He smiled, and returned it before punching. 

 

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Once Champ. Now Chump. An Embarrassing Win for Mayweather

Once Champ. Now Chump. An Embarrassing Win for Mayweather
Even in the sport of boxing there remains an element of ethical behavior that defines the bounds of good sportsmanship. Those bounds were breached in the September 17th WBC Welterweight Championship bout between Victor Ortiz and Floyd Mayweather, resulting in a bizarre and unsatisfying ending.

In case you missed it - there was a clash of heads in the fourth round which referee, Joe Cortez, correctly ruled “intentional,” and he penalized Ortiz one point. Cortez then signaled the fighters together, and as they approached each other, Ortiz began to hug Mayweather in a gesture of apology. Mayweather accepted the hug, but as Ortiz stepped back - looking to Cortez for further instructions - Mayweather blatantly struck with a left hook and straight right while Cortez was still gesturing toward the time keeper. Cortez didn’t see the punches. Unfortunately, neither did Ortiz.

Ortiz, who clearly felt bad about the head butt delivered to Mayweather earlier in the round, did what a good sportsman does - he attempted a reconciliation before the renewal of action. Then, seemingly distracted by something Joe Cortez was saying to the time keeper, Ortiz looked to his left, and in a flash Mayweather delivered his one-two punch while Ortiz’s hands were still by his side. The punch your don’t see, or expect, is the most devastating, and Ortiz fell backward onto the canvas, unable to beat the count. It was like watching a barroom brawl where one guy cold-cocks another guy as he’s distracted by the bartender asking him to pay his tab.

 

 

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GAMBOA HEADING TO 130??

GAMBOA HEADING TO 130??
Yuriorkis Gamboa scored another one-sided victory last Saturday.  This time “El Ciclon de Guantanamo” scored a technical decision over former belt-holder Daniel Ponce De Leon .  That result was not strange or unexpected, however Gamboa’s post-fight plans seem to be.  Gamboa announced that he is done at featherweight.  He said he has done all he can do there.  Excuse me??

If his body simply cannot make the weight, that is fine… but has he forgotten the names of men like Chris John or Juan Manuel Lopez?  At least hang out to see if Lopez wins his title back before you abandon the division.  If I were Lopez, the wind would be taken out of my sails a bit.  Now, no matter what Juanma does at 126, he’ll be second fiddle in this era to Gamboa.

He’s likely not risking Chris John either, so the best Lopez can do is win his belt back, and follow Gamboa up to 130.  Perhaps that is Top Rank’s plan with Gamboa in the first place.  They control both fighters, and this may be the first in a chess move that sees Lopez and Gamboa meeting without anyone pointing to spoiler John after they are done.  What is still confusing, however, is Gamboa’s own reasoning for the move.

 

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WANT MORE KNOCKOUTS?? YOU NEED A WILLING DANCE PARTNER

WANT MORE KNOCKOUTS?? YOU NEED A WILLING DANCE PARTNER
After watching Tomasz Adamek’s futile effort against Vitali Klitschko, I think it is official to start calling a recent observation a trend.  Fighters are only capable of scoring knockouts, when there is no surrender in an overmatched opponent.  Of course there are exceptions in the lower eschelon of matches.  11-0 prospects routinely batter 5-9 journeymen to the ground for kayos, even when the opponent is running for safety.  However, once at the top levels of the game, a knockout is not possible without a stubborn refusal to accept that one is outgunned.

We can use either Klitschko for an example, but I will use both.  David Haye can call himself a decision loser to Wladimir.  Ditto Kevin Johnson to Vitali.  Chris Arreola and Tomasz Adamek, however, are stoppage losers to Vitali.  One glance at a record may suggest that gives Johnson and Haye bragging rights.  One might even make the suggestion that Johnson and Haye possessed better chins.  However, one who has actually watched these fights will come to another conclusion.



 

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BEGINNING OF A NEW ERA??

BEGINNING OF A NEW ERA??
I am a bit excited that Yuriorkis Gamboa and Daniel Ponce De Leon are fighting.  You may simply be excited that these are two action fighters going head to head at all.  Both men are big punchers who have shown chin vulnerability.  Both have styles which lend themselves to action.  Both men have made seemingly difficult fights look easy, and vice versa.  Sure… be excited about the fight.  The promotional make-up, however, has some people salivating even more.

Golden Boy and Top Rank are co-promoting this card.  That has not happened in quite some time.  These two promotional outfits have become to the democrats and republicans of U.S. boxing.  Not in their treatment of fighters, or destruction of the country.  I mean that in the sense of being polarizing forces.  It’s a shame really, as unlike the political parties, they do not have many differences.  Both hold many cards at the local, regional, national, and international levels.  Both have TV deals to provide marketing to their younger stars.  Both pander to the Latino market unashamedly.  Both also posses more top fighters in the U.S. market that anyone else.

 

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MY OWN HEAVYWEIGHT TOURNAMENT

MY OWN HEAVYWEIGHT TOURNAMENT

With the dominance of the Klitschkos, the heavyweight division is running out of worthy challengers.  Not only are fighters losing to Vitali and Wlad, they are doing so in such a way, that their credibility is shot for quite a while.  Their are some tournaments going on to establish new challengers, but they are mostly being done with the wrong contenders.  What has Dimnitrenko done to deserve inclusion?  And don't get me started on Jonathon Banks and Jean-Marc Mormeck... men with chin problems at cruiserweight!  Let's do a tournament the right way... MY WAY!

Cris Arreola vs. Eddie Chambers
They are both still in ESPN's bottom of the top ten.  While they are both vital contenders, they have already lost to a Klitschko, which renders them much less interesting.  However, if Haye gets another shot, so do they.  Chambers counterpunching skills make him a live underdog, but after suffering his first knockout to Wladimir, we know what can happen if his temple gets tagged, which Arreola will do, repeatedly, no matter how sloppy it looks.  Arreola by late round TKO.

 

 

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NO NEED FOR A REMATCH!

NO NEED FOR A REMATCH!
Well, Floyd Mayweather has another victory, and for the first time since 1998, he is a KO winner in the early rounds.  While the fight’s ending was bizarre, I do not see any controversy.  The Golden Boy execs are for sure going to try to spin their magic, so that all may go the bank once again.  There is, however, no real controversy to anyone looking at the fight through unbiased lenses.  I do not fault Mayweather or Joe Cortez for any of their actions, and I definitely do not see the need for a rematch.

First off, Ortiz was the only guilty party.  Why should he be rewarded with another payday when he was the only one who did anything illegal?  He was frustrated, and had already resorted to intentional headbutts by the 4th round.  This is because of reason number 2: Mayweather had proven his superiority.  It’s true that the longer a fight goes on, the more likely it is that anything could happen, but THIS fight was Ortiz’ chance to make that happen.  Again, he does not deserve a second fight because he broke the rules, and then for looked at the ref when he should have been defending himself.  That logic is twisted.  He was on his way to losing and he knew it… hence the headbutt.

 

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WHEN IS IT TIME TO BAN A REFEREE?

WHEN IS IT TIME TO BAN A REFEREE?
We live in an age where officials walk around above the law.  They may not have an easy job in the world of sports, but they enjoy a ridiculous amount of freedom from the powerful, as well as ridicule from the fans and writers.  I will confess that in many cases, I would not wish to walk a mile in their shoes.  That does not, however, excuse them from doing their job correctly.

I believe in the “3 strikes and you’re out” mentality.  These are 3 televised strikes against you.  You have blown calls that many times when we are watching?  You probably have done it far more when we are not.  You must be taken out of the game for years, and retrained.  If you strike out again, you are gone.  The NBA’s asinine policy of fining coaches who criticize officials is oppressive and wrong, but no one’s life is at stake.  Tennis officials have been historically bad, but again, players enter and leave in the same health, regardless.  In boxing, men’s lives are at stake… not just their careers.

Joey Curtis was the TV boxing joke of the 1980’s.  He stopped fights too soon, and stopped fights too late.  He even left the finished boxer to stagger around helplessly, while he raised the hand of the victor.  A generation earlier the jokes were former fighters who were given referee assignments.  Who can forget Jersey Joe Walcott blowing the Ali-Liston rematch, or Joe Louis allowing Jerry Quarry to take too much punishment against Joe Frazier?  Even the great Richard Pryor made one of his better-known routines about the latter match.

 

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STRAIT JABS

STRAIT JABS
Injuries are the new… “we couldn’t sell enough tickets.”  It happens so often now, it makes us skeptical of true injuries.  I don’t see any reason Robert Guerrero would fake recent the injury, but nobody is buying it.  Not even Maidana.  The frequency of cancellations due to injury, even had everyone panicking when Victor Ortiz suffered something as innocent as a sore back.

Speaking of cancellations, I don’t think they will stop if people end up making out as well as Alexander Povetkin.  Ruslan Chagaev is no pushover, but Povetkin has a much better chance of collecting a belt versus Chagaev than Klitschko.  For every ruined chance from a cancellation is a story like this one, and to fans, that is not encouraging.  Maybe that tree root Povetkin tripped over, when he was injured prior to the first scheduled Klitschko fight, will end up bronzed.

Speaking of encouragement, I wish WBA Super Bantamweight champion Rico Ramos all the best.  He scored a televised come from behind KO to win his belt.  Only drawback was that he had to do so in Atlantic City , when his promoter, Dan Goossen, has tons of cards near his native Los Angeles .  I'm sure he'll take the win, no matter where it is, but there was a Top Rank card going on that same night in Carson , only miles from where Ramos grew up.  With Guillermo Rigondeaux waiting in the wings, it will probably be a short reign for Ramos. 

 

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ARGENTINA’S TIME

ARGENTINA’S TIME
The American boxing scene is always much stronger than the media makes it sound.  True, it is not in its heyday, but how many things are?  Our land has still remained the mecca of boxing in as much as fighters wish to ply their trade on our soil.  It’s a bit strange when you think about it.  Most of the great fighters nowadays are not born and bred here.  Many of them do not live here.  In addition, most of the boxers who make it to the championship level, can make far more money fighting somewhere else.  This is true of the UK , Germany , or Japan .  Yet, it is considered a career unfulfilled, if one does not test oneself against the best the U.S. has to offer.

This could be a metaphor for the U.S as a whole.  Our slow slide into 3rd world nationhood, and away from greatness.  It takes a while for people to figure it out, but during that generation, we still get some of the world’s best contesting on our shores.  Sometimes it’s the only way they can achieve neutrality in their matches.  Japan has long paid better.   Germany is outdoing us in terms of star-making and filling arenas… but there is a new entrant into the mix.

 

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STEPPING ON THE GAS!

STEPPING ON THE GAS!
Lost in the shuffle of the Mares-Agbeko fiasco, is a very pivotal moment.  Inh the 4th round, Agbeko landed a flush right hand, as Mares was loading up his own right.  Mares dipped, then stood back up.  Agbeko did not press the attack… seemingly waiting to land another right hand.  Because he shut his eyes defensively at the moment of impact, perhaps he did not know how badly Mares was hurt.  I am not suggesting that Mares was out on his feet, or that Agbeko definitely blew a chance to end the fight, but we will never know, because he did not press the attack.

Even if Mares had survived an onslaught, it was worth Agbeko pressing the advantage.  So much more good than bad can result from an effective follow up.  This is not the first time a fighter has paid dearly not not pursuing a hurt fighter.  The only negative is to do so saps a fighter’s strength, but fighters should be trained for far more than the demands of an ordinary 12 rounds, so that this is not a factor.  Perhaps Agbeko was concerned after his struggles to make weight.  However, much more than the knockout gets away after a moment like this.  The affected fighter gains confidence, and is given an easy path to show heart.  Taking charge of a fight can still result in dominance, even if it does not result in a knockout.

This is not the only time this has happened.  The other instance that pops in my mind most clearly is Joe Frazier not following up that aggressively against Muhammad Ali in the 11th round of their first match.  He admitted later that he was a bit fooled by Ali’s possum-playing, and averted danger.  Frazier won anyway, however, he nearly died from elevated blood-pressure after the fight, which probably would have been lessened by an 11th round exit.  Also, maybe the world never sees the 2 fights he lost, had he won by a convincing KO.



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LONG MAY HE REIGN

LONG MAY HE REIGN
I pick on the sanctioning bodies, because, well, they deserve it.  They’ve made an already marginalized and misunderstood sport even more difficult to follow.  Fighters seem to like them, as they still provide a springboard to future success, at least for now.  Their ridiculous behaviors are are often tolerated with the dismissive phrase, “fighters make the belt, not the other way around”.  In this strip-happy, interim, silver, rutabaga titles-flying around everywhere days, there have still been a handful of fighters who have taken, and kept a sanctioning body belt for several years.  As this century is only 11 years old, we examine a few of the most recent.  I will also not be including people like Sven Ottke, who were barely journeyman if you scored their fights correctly.  Note, all are undefeated, and were accused of being protected… but even the vast majority of those end up being beaten or giving up a belt.  These did not:

Joe Calzaghe
Sure, the exciting times came once unification happened, and a move up to light heavyweight followed, but before the Hopkins , Jones, Lacy, and Kessler matches, Calzaghe held the WBO title from 1997 to 2007.  He even beat another British legend to become champion, in Chris Eubank.  After 21 successful defenses, he moved up and beame undisputed light heavyweight champion with a win over Bernard Hopkins… a win that is looking better and better all the time.  His 21 defenses over 10 years, however, are an impressive feat in any age.



 

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SANCTIONING BODY QUESTIONS

SANCTIONING BODY QUESTIONS

WBA
What if your “super champion” is called such because he owns the WBA and IBF belts.  Then, the IBF strips him (which happens a lot).  Is he still a super champion?  What if you’ve already crowned a “regular” champion in his absence?  Does that guy get stripped, or demoted to “interim”?  What if you already have a super champion, and your regular champion also unifies with another belt holder?  Do you now have 2 super champions?  Would you still crown yet a 3rd “regular” champion?  Are any of these champions mandated to ever fight each other?  What about Chris John and Yuriorkis Gamboa?  Are they ever going to be forced to fight?  And if Gamboa was the most recent one to unify, why is he not the super champion?  What about Felix Sturm?  I don’t recall him unifying at all.

WBC
Timothy Bradley and Sergio Martinez are “emeritus” champions, correct?  Therefore, they may come back whenever, no matter what is going on the division, and challenge your current WBC champion for their belt.  What about the new regular belt-holder’s mandatory?  Is he still next in line for the winner?  Does he fight for a “silver” title?  If so, is he still in line, or does this consolation prize belt mean the champions are exempt from fighting them?  What the hell is a “diamond” belt?  If you are a Mexican with a star name or billing, are you just handed a WBC belt for your lineage?

IBF
Is there any circumstance for which a champion may be temporarily exempt from a mandatory?  Or do you just strip your new champion every six months, regardless of what kind of better offers they receive?  Are unified champions ever given a chance to defend against the other sanctioning body’s mandatory?  If not, why even bother allowing unifications?  Bravo to allowing Wladimir Klitschko to get away with it for this long, but we have a feeling the useless mandatory you’re about to saddle him with, will put an end to all of that.  Clock is ticking on Amir Khan’s new belt, too.

 

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STRAIT JABS

STRAIT JABS
Bravo to Jimmy Kimmel and George Lopez for having boxers on their shows… and non-Latino fighters to boot.  Unlike Tennis, Golf, or other marginalized individual sports, audiences often feel they “should” know who certain boxing champions are.  We can credit the glorious history of boxing for that.

Speaking of glorious history, is there really a good time to retire?  Lewis, Marciano, Hagler, and Calzaghe had to hear about it for walking away on top.  Nobody believed they were done, until they either showed up looking fatter and older, or were inducted into the hall of fame.  Now, they are congratulated for it.  Meanwhile Roy Jones and Evander Holyfield have us wishing they’d walked away a decade ago.  Michael Carbajal and Ricardo Lopez seem the best examples of the right time to walk away… on a winning note, but having still shown enough vulnerability to fully justify it as a good move.

Speaking of good moves, Amir Khan’s people are looking like geniuses for matching him with overrated Zab Judah .  Now he has unified the division (technically), and can move to 147lbs, while making it look as if Bradley was the one who ducked him.  Still not sure who would win that fight, but now we won’t blame Khan for not finding out.

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TYSON FURY… VULNERABILITY GOES A LONG WAY

TYSON FURY… VULNERABILITY GOES A LONG WAY
I’ve long said that nowadays blue-chip prospects like Vanes Martirosyan will wait years for a title shot, while guys with a few losses will get their chance earlier.  This is not new.  Vernon Forrest had to wait a decade, while Justin Juuko got shot after shot.  What we need is some fighters with the personality of the stars, but the vulnerability of the also-rans.  Enter Tyson Fury.

So, Fury fumbled and bumbled his way to another decision win.  Now, Wladmir Klitschko is talking about facing him.  The only time I have seen him in a full-length fight, he was dominant but unimpressive against unbeaten no-hoper Rich Power.  He has already had a close call, and been hurt on more than one occasion.  Now, it’s true that even Muhammad Ali did not look invincible on his rise to the top, but believe me, I am not about to make that comparison.

Sometimes these semi-conditioned, wrong-game-plan heavyweight fighters are actually a great thing for boxing.  Particularly in the heavyweight division, we need people to (ironically in some cases) trim the fat.  The Damian Wills’, Israel Garcias, Travis Walkers, and Manuel Quezadas could have clouded up the landscape, but Cris Arreola cleaned them out.  He may not beat a Klitschko, but he’s exciting, powerful, and has a decent heart/chin combo to keep in the tough fights.  Maybe that is what young Fury is destined to be.  He’s already thinned a few bleak prospects: Power, Chisora… and that may be what we need more than a big star who can “carry the sport on his shoulders”.

 

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SEPTEMBER PREDICTIONS

SEPTEMBER PREDICTIONS

Floyd Mayweather vs. Victor Ortiz – Ortiz has barely gotten to enjoy anything he has accomplished in boxing before he gets knocked down a peg.  He was barely an unbeaten prospect, when a bizarre dq ended that run.  He was barely the next great Mexican-American star, when Marcos Maidana derailed him.  Now, he will get to enjoy being WBC Welterweight champion for a whopping 5 months.  Granted he will be paid very well to surrender the belt to Floyd, but that is just what he will do.  Ortiz is tough, skilled, and might buzz Floyd occasionally with a straight left, yet he may not win a round.  His heart will not come into question, as Mayweather’s backward moton will make it look as if Ortiz is trying.  The ‘Vicious’ one will gradually be worn down, however, and perhaps even stopped.  Gut instinct tells me, that Floyd won’t press the issue enough to score the KO.  Mayweather by wide unanimous decision.

Saul Alvarez vs. Alfonso Gomez
Well, I guess the next step in building a contender into a star without him actually facing any threatening competition, is the perennial contender who occasionally pulls off an upset.  They are not about to risk Erislandy Lara or Carlos Molina for young “Canelo”, but Gomez is the perfect foil.  He is another Mexican, who is popular in Los Angeles .  Gomez also is an exciting fighter who will not run, but who also has a good jab.  He will test Canelo, but not beat him.  Gomez would have to fight the perfect fight, and not get caught, or busted up.  Highly unlikely, given the increasingly good offensive skills of the young Mexican.  Gomez’ toughness does, however, almost guarantee another decision win for Alvarez.

 

 

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KHAN VS. JUDAH

KHAN VS. JUDAH

I didn’t get a chance to make an official prediction here, as the fight was thrown together in less than two months time.  I am glad that it was, as I think the lead time most fights endure is not necessary.  Now I will join the tradition most fight writers engage in… making a detailed analysis the week of a fight.

Just when you think Zab Judah will not get any more chances, he does.  I find it odd that Shane Mosley has a handful of upsets to his credit, yet is doubted for attempting another.  Surely, he did not give a good account of himself against either Mayweather or Pacquiao, but those are the two best fighters in the world.  He has a history of fooling us, yet is not given the benefit of the doubt that he may do so once more.  Judah has no such history, yet keeps getting chances.

Other than winning 2 of the first 4 rounds from Mayweather, and avenging a defeat to Cory Spinks, has Judah ever really surprised us?  If so, he surprised us by losing.  His close shave with Lucas Matthysse is looking all the more forgiveable now that Devon Alexander had the same difficulties with the Argentinian. However, his win over Mabuza was not that impressive, given the competition, yet we are ready to anoint a second coming for the Brooklyn native.  Judah is a solid fighter, and legitimate former champion of the world, who loses against the hall-of-famers he fights.  So, why the excessive love?

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PUNCHING POWER - LATE BLOOMERS

PUNCHING POWER - LATE BLOOMERS

Punchers are born, not made.  We hear this all the time.  Perhaps this is true, but one glance at many a fighters record will confuse any fan who buys into this.  Some fighters start out as punchers, then stop (Paulie Malingaggi KO’d his first 3 opponents, Pernell Whittaker 6 of his first 7, etc).  Others develop their power slowly.  Some blame this on “sitting down” on punches, as one transitions to a pro style from an amateur style.  Others cite confidence.  Let’s look at 3 modern examples:

Diego Magdaleno – The most recent entry into this list may not look like he belongs yet.  At first glance, 7 KO’s in 19 wins does not a puncher make.  However, when one sees that 4 of those have come in his last 4 fights, it looks a bit more impressive.  Add to that, the fact that they have come early, he looks a bit more powerful.  Then the final ingredient appears in the form of his knockouts coming as he is stepping up in class.  Funny thing is his other 3 KO’s happened in his first 6 fights... so the amateur style is not to blame.  Perhaps it’s just a matter developing his confidence.

Robert Guerrero – One of the most physically strong featherweights in the last 20 years, Guerrero has grown into a full lightweight, who is now making his debut at 140lbs.  People who are fans of the Gilroy , CA native’s recent fights, however, may be surprised to know that only 3 of his first 12 fights ended by KO.  He followed this up with a tear of first round KO’s, meaning once he had sat down on his punches, his powerful style soon developed.  That early run of distance fights, however, is to thank for his ability to box, and go the distance with confidence.


 

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AUGUST PREDICTIONS

AUGUST PREDICTIONS

Abner Mares vs. Joseph Agbeko
A fight I believe will be well worth the wait, it is one of those where betting hearts and heads will be pitted against one another.  Both fighters have shown the ability to box or slug, and be different fighters on different nights.  The difference is Agbeko’s slight experience edge, as well as his superior skin and chin.  Mares doesn’t exactly have a major deficiency in those areas, but he is average.  Agbeko is unhurtable.  Mares will have to fight the perfect fight, both inside and out.  This is not out of the realm of possibility, and for the future of the division, it may be a better thing.  Mares is very marketable due to his heritage, promoter, location, age, and style.  Agbeko enjoys virtually none of those advantages.  However, the winner is the logical opponent for Nonito Donaire.  This is a fight that will happen if Mares wins; not necessarily if Agbeko wins.  There are so many reasons to hope Abner pulls it off, but hope does not equal expectations.  Agbeko by unanimous decision… in a fight where Mares hangs tough, and shows heart to make it to the final bell.

Kelly Pavlik vs. Daryl Cunningham
This is not a great fight for Pavilk.  He won without looking impressive last time out, and he needs a talented, yet vulnerable opponent to get us talking about him again.  This is not that fight.  Cunningham is not a puncher, but a southpaw boxer, who has two decision losses early in his career to unimpressive opposition.  His best win is a shutout decision over former title challenger Rubin Williams.  He will likely box well until Pavlik traps him and unloads.  Once again Pavlik will win, but look awkward and slow until he either takes over with aggression, or lands a big shot.  Pavlik by late-round TKO.


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JUDGING REFORM

JUDGING REFORM
In the wake of the obviously bad decision rendered in the Paul Williams vs. Erislandy Lara match, I will offer two opinions right away.  First off, as Max Kellerman pointed out, a distinction needs to be offered between a decision that is questionable, and one that is outrageously bad.  For example, Devon Alexander vs. Lucas Matthysse was debatable.  Williams vs. Lara was robbery.  Lennox Lewis vs. Ray Mercer was debatable.  Lennox Lewis vs. Holyfield 1 was robbery.  Get it?  Ok, now we can move on.

There is a certain level of idiocy that is not possible from a rational human beaing. Therefore, to assume that someone with eyes, and the slightest clue as to what they were looking at could have called it the way it ended, is ridiculous.  Reasonable doubt is under assault everywhere.  After the joke of a trial for Casey Anthony, we must keep in perspective that miscarriages of boxing justice are not so important, but there is a parallel.  Reasonable doubt begins with the word “reason”.

We must assume the majority of people in the world are sane, therefore when you stand against 90% of the opinions, you better have a track record of genius and foresight on your side, or else you are likely wrong.  The fact that all three judges in ther Williams – Lara farce were inexperienced, and that Goossen is already dodging the rematch question is just extra proof.

 

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Haye Eats Crow In Disappointing Loss To Wladamir Klitscho Is David Rodriguez Next?

Haye Eats Crow In Disappointing Loss To Wladamir Klitscho Is David Rodriguez Next?
Darn, I suppose those Klitscho brothers are more dominating then I would think after all these years. Hayes was more of a mouth than a man of courage. Fighting Wladamir in Germany, he did not let the combinations fly when he had a couple of opportunities. Too bad as he had a chance to put boxing back in the spotlight. Wladamir kept the Englishman at bay with stinging left jabs and hard right hands. Sadly, Haye seemd to be over-protective until the tenth round. He then landed a decent right left combo on the champion but again, failed to open up his aresenal. Wladamir responded in kind and more to even win that round. Not much of a contest.

It has been some time since our home town UTEP football player, Ross Purrity, KO'd Wladamir Klitscho in a non-title fight. Unfortunately, Ross didn't follow up with his chance of becoming the champion. Since Arreoloa couldn't do well either, the USA doesn't have much hope of bringing a single title to this country.

A boxer I trained for near twelve years, David Rodriguez, 35-0 under Louie Burke as a pro for 12 years, and the last two under Zeferino management, might be a long shot against the brothers. That being said, David is mostly a vicious hitter and would have to get one of the brothers early on as his cardio seems to be lacking. He has no experience going 12 rounds and seemed a surprising winded in his recent KO of Owen Beck. Surprising because he was reported to have had a very energetic camp in Las Vegas prior to the match. He is so used to knocking opponents out in 1 or 2 rounds and that is why I suggest that he get the best cardio coach available if he should get a title shot.

 

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VICTOR ORTIZ

VICTOR ORTIZ

So, Floyd Mayweather is taking on Victor Ortiz.  I, for one, am actually glad this fight is taking place.  While I think Mayweather-Martinez would have been more historic, and pushed Mayweather past Pacquiao in the respect category, this fight still does make sense.  For those of you saying that Ortiz is getting this shot as much for his deficiencies, as he is for his strengths, I would say there is some truth to that.  However, a look at fighter’s records is a bit misleading here.

Certainly there is no comparison in the experience category.  This is Ortiz’s first recognizable belt.  Mayweather has won them in 5 weight divisions.  For those looking at unbeaten records, however, things are not as they seem.  A further analysis is necessary.  Mayweather is legitimately unbeaten, but his fights with Castillo and De La Hoya were certainly close, and perhaps may have gone the other way.  Ortiz, on the other hand, has not had the best luck.

Disqualified in his first loss, for a shady ‘Evander Holyfield in the 1984 Olympics’ style technicality, he lost his unbeaten record young.  His first draw was also in the first round, and of the technical variety.  Most people had him winning the Peterson draw, and he was ahead on all cards, having scored 3 knockdowns, when eye injuries forced him out of his fight with Maidana.  Everyone was so distracted by his unfighter-like comments after the Maidana loss, that we forgot what had transpired prior.



 

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JULY PREDICTIONS

JULY PREDICTIONS
David Haye vs. Vladimir Klitschko
Perhaps my acknowledging it with a prediction is a bad omen.  Boxing fans are crossing their fingers for this bout to actually come off.  I believe that it will this time, if only because of David Haye’s attempt at a master plan.  He wishes to beat both Klitschko brothers by his 31st birthday in October (Should he upset Wladimir, I think Tomasz Adamek can kiss his Sept 25 date with Vitali goodbye).  I think that plan will be derailed however.  An upset would not be unprecedented.  Many other fighters earned shots with their mouths, and still delivered when fight time came (Clay vs. Liston1, and Leonard vs. Hagler).  However, David Haye does legitmitaely have a bad chin.  Klitschko’s losses are not due to a bad chin, but bad stamina, which he has corrected.  Only his loss to Sanders was from power punches, and while Haye hits hard, he does not hit as hard as Sanders.  Also, Haye is facing a defensive minded Wlad, and will have difficulty being the first to land big shots.  If Haye presses the action, he may have some success, but he will be Ko’d within 3 rounds.  If he boxes cautiously, he may last, but will gradually fall way behind.  This will force desperation, and get him Ko’d in round 10 or 11.  Either way you slice it, Wladimir by KO.

Amir Khan vs. Zab Judah
Let’s face it.  This fight is low-risk, high-reward for Khan.  The Bradley fight was one which Khan had a very real chance of losing.  Judah, who has always failed at the highest level, will fail again.  He got a belt, the IBF… which is passed around frequently through vacancies at 140lbs.  That is the sole reason we have been fooled into believing he is vital again.  Judah will be competitive for the first few rounds, but Khan will build a lead in the middle rounds.  Amir will probably not step on the gas, to give Judah his only shot.  Khan by wide unanimous decision, or late round TKO.

 

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STRAIT JABS

STRAIT JABS

Lucas Matthysse is not nearly the victim he is making himself out to be.  Sure, he is doing a great job of selling the idea that he was robbed against Judah and Alexander, but let’s look at these fights objectively.  In both cases, he took rounds off when he could ill afford to.  He was cleanly outboxed in at least 1/3 of the rounds.  He has no jab, swings wildly, tries to steal rounds in the last 30 seconds, and has lousy defense.  A guy like that is never gonna look like he is dominating someone.  Also, while he may score the occasional knockdown; much like his countryman Maidana, if he cannot shorten up the punches, he is not going to stop anyone at this level.  Maidana vs. Matthysse is one of the best fights to be made in boxing.  However, that is due to their shortcomings, as much as their strengths.

Speaking of shortcomings, Guillermo Jones should just retire  Fabrice Tiozzo did the honorable thing when promoters could not get him fights.  He was incredulous that he had a title, and could not get a fight.  Therefore, he walked away.  Jones finally got two fights scheduled within the same calendar year, and he has an injury.  Just walk away, “Felino”.   You’re in your late thirties, won a belt, made some money, and had a hometown defense.  Anything more is just not meant to be.

 

 

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David Rodriguez KO’s Owen Beck with Booming Thundering Left Hooks

David Rodriguez KO’s Owen Beck with Booming Thundering Left Hooks

June 24th, 2011 was Friday Fight Night at the Don Haskins Center. The featured bout was David Rodriguez Versus Owen Beck for the FeComBox Heavyweight Championship. The promotion entailed too much waste of time.

Whew, finally a bout. Oh oh, that Okie kid, Yon Harvison, couldn't even bend his knees to avoid head shots. He didn't even know how to bob and weave, take off the jab or slip punches to counter. He looked good with his hands excepting the cold hard fact that a boxer needs to be balanced to execute their wares. He was quickly knocked out...as expected.

The Mark Villa fight was strange. Villa landed the better heavy punches but he was swarmed by his opponent from the beginning and I would bet money that Villa received three punches for every one he landed. The decision for an unfit and tiring Villa was met with boo's from the crowd. Looked like a draw at best for Villa.

As for Rodriguez, he wasn't loose at first and received some heavy blows, one a huge uppercut to his chin. The good news: he took the shots well and went to the body early to set up the 3rd round KO by hooks to the chin. Give Rodriguez credit, Beck, fit for a change but having that bad eye, has never been knocked out so viciously. Perhaps now we will see a match between Arreola and Rodriguez. That bout would be a huge seller for Vegas or Los Angeles. With TV rights around the world, I could see both boxers earning a million if the deal is made and made soon. Age is a factor, especially for Rodriguez.

One for the road about the Rodriguez critics: El Paso’s most admired past heavyweight was Adolfo Quijano. He had some memorable great fights, granted. What about some of his foes capabilities? How about Johnny cooper 0-3? Cooper again, 0-4? Fred Massey 2-2? Sebastain Gonzalez 22-20-4? Eddie Wiliams 0-1-0? Black Jack Louis 1-2-1? Pancho Medrano 3-8-3? Amado Rodriguez 12-19-1? Darby Dan 2-3-1 (He beat Dolph)? Speedy Williams 4-4-1? Deacon Logan 29-15-3? Dolph lost and then beat Logan in a rematch. He then fought the best bout of his career, losing a 1946 decision to former world champion, Joey Maxim. That led to his great victory over Jimmy Webb 54-17-4 for the Texas State Light Heavyweight title. Dolph won the Texas State Heavy Title over a good Bobby Sikes in 1948 after being KO'd in the 2nd round by Bob Foxworth earlier in 1947.

Dolph defended the Texas title over Whitey Berlier 5-7-2 and Jimmy Curl 44-14-1 and moved up in class and was knocked out by Bob Flanagan in the 2nd and Tko'd by Gino Buonvino in the 2nd. He rebounded with wins over Buddy Scott 114-29-6 and Jack Huber 19-14-6. In Oct. 1950 in L.A. he was awful as Irish Bob Murphy KO'd him in the first round. He tuned up in El Paso again with Carl Schobe and then Charles Henry 17-44-2. Back to the big boys: Watson Jones KO'd him in 10. He then lost to a very talented boxer, Freddy Milton. He didn’t wish to end his career that ugly loss and arranged a rematch.
In one of his greater moments of a checkered career, Dolph rose to the occasion and thoroughly beat the favorite to end his career on a high note.

One more thing for critics, including me, before gunning down a gunner with a verbal attack, may I suggest to you that it takes 'balls' to get in the ring - win or lose. Teddy Roosevelt said it best when it came to toughness.

 

 

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WE ACTUALLY NEED BETTER NETWORKS

WE ACTUALLY NEED BETTER NETWORKS
Yes, I am gratfeul that EPIX, Versus, and ESPN 3 all occasionally grace us fight fans with air time.  However, this is not the answer.  There are so many outlets nowadays, that someone with only a basic DirectTV package can watch the same FOX Sports Golden Boy card on 7 channels simultaneously.  A bit better package gives you the Top Rank cards in real time.  If you have those channels, you also likely get the British Prizefighter Series.  In addition, Versus has gone back on their stance to abandon boxing, as they air both Toughman reruns, as well as the World Series of Boxing.  It's not top shelf, sure, but it's boxing, and it's on TV.  Sounds like a great time for televised boxing... but if we ever hope to return our beloved sport to the mainstream, we should actually be encouraging the opposite.

I am a stand-up comedian by trade, and as such I have seen this kind of oversaturation before.  It does far more harm that good.  In the 1980's, stand-up comedy experienced a boom.  There were not a ton of comedians, but there were a ton of clubs.  Comedians you have never heard of, were getting regular TV spots, and headlining clubs every week of the year for $2500 a week, plus airfare.  It was a golden era.  But then, two things happened, and the industry has never fully recovered.

First, there were so many TV channels, all offering stand-up both in showcase and hour special-formats (HBO, Showtime, MTV, VH1, A&E) , and two entire stations were devoted to comedy (HA!, Comedy Central).  Now, people saw it as a viable career option, and the talent pool increased considerably.  Then, from 1989 to 1993, the economy was in a recession.  People stopped going out to see live comedy, instead settling for watching it incessantly on the TV shows.  The result was pronounced.  By the late 1990's, there were 1/5 the amount of clubs.  They paid 1/3 of what they paid in the 1980's, sometimes even less.  The business has never recovered.  It all started, and was exascerbated, by too much exposure for the mid-level shows.

 

 

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CINAMMON GETTING SWEETER??

CINAMMON GETTING SWEETER??

I don’t feel as if it’s a bad thing at all that Saul Alvarez is being brought along slowly.  He probably doesn’t deserve to be paid as much as he is to do so, but that’s the nature of fame in any business.  It is only a problem, if his record is being padded for money, and not for development.  I think he looked great against Ryan Rhodes, because he showed improvement in every category in which he had been criticized.

Yes, he only got the stoppage in a technical fashion, but did he really need to prove his power?  Knocking out iron-chinned Carlos Baldomir with one punch pretty much is the last test your power should ever have to take.  The areas of improvement left to see are: can he handle a slick boxer, and can he mix his offense and defense well, when another puncher is willing to trade with him.  He is almost 21 years old, and to be honest, a loss would do him good.  Look at how well Victor Ortiz has recovered.  Here are the most likely candidates to hand Alvarez that loss at 154lbs:

Paul Williams – Not the perfect opponent for Alvarez in any other way except that a loss to Williams would be highly forgiveable.  Depending on how well Williams does against Lara, it may not even be a fight Alvarez would lose.  He has the punch to hurt ‘The Punisher’.  We know that now, but he’s certain to look awful until he starts landing, and maybe even after.

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Farewell to a Friend R.I.P. Bob “Scooter” Carroll 1966-2011

Farewell to a Friend  R.I.P. Bob “Scooter” Carroll 1966-2011

It is with deep sadness and a broken heart that I write this article, in my years of writing I have written tributes and articles about the passing of people in and around the boxing world, but never in a million years could I ever have imagined that I would be paying tribute to my best friend Bob “Scooter” Carroll.

I met Bob about four or five years ago (cannot pinpoint the date because speaking with Bob one hour felt like you knew him an eternity), but I was working publicity for then heavyweight contender Brian Minto when Bob submitted a request to have Minto on his radio show Fightin’ Words Radio. As usual I botched the request so Minto’s manager took care of that, but I began speaking with Bob and he asked me to come on the show with he and Butch. I did so thinking it would be a one time deal and be done with it. But it turned out to be a life changing event that has been going on for several years now.

It was more than a radio show; it was the beginning of a bonding friendship that even death cannot break.

Ok, for the ones who are saying, who is Bob?

No he was not a heavyweight champion, this big time portrait in boxing, but he was one of the best friends that a guy could ever have. A born bread Philly fan that stayed true to his teams win lose or draw. Bob was also a long time fan of the sport of Boxing. His love as well as my passion brought us together, now our opinions on which “America’s Football Team” was, that was a bit different. Bob stayed true to his Philly roots and I stuck with mine as a Dallas Cowboy fan. Man, the debates we would have!

 

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BOB ARUM NEEDS TO RETIRE

BOB ARUM NEEDS TO RETIRE
Ok, I tried to defend the actions of Top Rank.  It was bad enough that the luster has been taken off of Juanma Lopez vs. Yuriorkis Gamboa forever.  I don’t care what happens in the rematch with Salido.  It is abbhorent that we are being given Pacquiao-Marquez 3, only after Marquez’ skills have clearly eroded, and he has already been dominated by Floyd Mayweather.  Now, they are “mexican-ing” their way out of Chavez Jr. facing Sergio Martinez, the true Middleweight champion.  It was bad enough they stole his belt.  Why did I try to defend these actions?

There is a very real reason Arum keeps it all in-house.  He, and to a lesser extent Don King, are the only real promoters left in American boxing.  Golden Boy is a noteworthy exception (more on that later), but what Goossen, Shaw, DiBella, and others do is not promotion.  It is site-booking.  They get a fee, and put on a fight.  Do you see their fighters advertising anything?  Do you see them on the radio, or TV?  Do you see them making cameos, or appearing on late-night shows?  Do you see them even learning English, if they do not already know it?

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BLAME IT ON 1982

BLAME IT ON 1982

Boxing has been living on the outskirts of sporting fame for a few decades now.  This is a sad truth that while one star usually makes it to the mainstream (one at a time anyway), most members of the general public cannot name more than 3 active boxers, if that.  The abandonment of network television is the biggest culprit, alongside the disappearing act of the U.S. heavyweight.  While many theories are given as to the reason for this, I can trace it all back to four very important events.  Oddly enough, all of them took place 29 years ago.

Muhammad Ali Showing Wear and Tear
Not only did we have to lose him in the ring, but 1982 was the first year where we really got to see that we were slowly losing him on the microphone as well.  He’d always been slowing, and people close to Ali knew for years, but the permanence of his damage was becoming obvious.  The absence of the voice of boxing was perhaps more damaging than his retirement, as we can assume many people would tune into fights just to hear him speak.  He is still the most recognizable personality in the world, without the benefit of sound bites. We needed this in 1982, because faces and voices were disappearing fast, like…

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THE ONLY THING MISSING MAY BE A HUGE THING

THE ONLY THING MISSING MAY BE A HUGE THING

The knockout mesmerizes people.  It is often the only way a boxer can enter the general sports highlight reels on news channels.  Sergio Martinez winning a close one over Paul Williams would have made a nice story of revenge, but we’d all be talking trilogy.  Instead, because 'Maravilla' flattened a previously rock-chinned opponent, he made everyone’s p4p lists, while Williams has dropped out of sight.  While Manny Pacquiao and Andre Ward’s recent victories have signaled an end to the string of upsets, they have not set the sporting world on fire.

Andre Ward has won 4 times in dominating fashion, since entering the Super Six tournament.  On 3 of those 4 occasions he faced a fighter with a very good chin, so the decision wins are piling up.  On the other, however, he could not put a weakened Allan Green away.  He was also recently criticized for not stepping on the gas to take out Arthur Abraham.  Pacquiao too, has had trouble with defensive minded fighters feeling his power and going into survival mode.  Now, are we to blame their extraordinary talent, combined with the lack of heart of today’s challengers?  Perhaps, but the “good enough” mentality may turn out to fall well short of enough, if we want to make true stars out of fighters.


 

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