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Home Boxing JUNE PREDICTIONS, PART 1
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JUNE PREDICTIONS, PART 1

boxing_imageDanny Green vs. Antonio Tarver
Green has shown the ability to be a legend killer.  Tarver, however, is a four-time light heavyweight champion, but not yet a legend.  He has not taken many beatings throughout his career, and after a lackluster showing in his heavyweight debut, he may be right where he belongs at 200lbs.  Green, a former Super Middleweight, is making plenty of money defending a lowly belt in his native Australia .  He is coming off of a medical issue with his abdominal area, and Tarver’s left to the body can be very dangerous.  Green may be protected geographically, but he is not taking any soft touches.  He beat Roy Jones and BJ Flores, neither of which were gimme opponents.  While both Green and Tarver are giant question marks, Tarver’s age seems to be the one extra grain of sand weighing in Green’s favor.  While a one-round blowout is not in order, an impressive decision win for Green is.  Sauerland and Don King aren’t putting any of their belt holders in with this guy, so calling out the elderly Americans may seem to be the best course of action for Green.  Hopkins may come calling next.

Saul Alvarez vs. Ryan Rhodes
They actually dug up the “Spice Boy” for Alvarez?  As if the nickname wasn't clue enough to the last time Rhodes was relevant, this is quite the mismatch.  Rhodes did come back in convincing fashion since his earlier career fizzled, but let’s be honest.  Promoters are in protection-mode with ‘Canelo’ until they can fully develop his talent, and land a big name opponent at 154lbs.  The only spoiler they might risk is Austin Trout, as the New Mexico fighter is known in Mexico for having beaten Alvarez’ older brother.  Plus, a win over Trout would mean another belt for Alvarez, and eventual mandatory status for Miguel Cotto.  Until then, expect no risk for Alvarez.  Rhodes is the perfect foil.  He won’t even be able to defend accurately, and his chin has crumped before.  Alvarez by KO in round 6 or 7.

Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. vs. Sebastian Zbik
Speaking of protected Mexican stars, Chavez Jr. gets his shot at the other belt unjustly stripped (kind of) from Sergio Martinez.  Sebastian Zbik is a decent fighter, but has faced no one of note, lucked into his belt, and has only 12 KO’s in 33 wins.  That means he doesn’t even have the punchers chance necessary to expose Chavez Jr.  Chavez has height, boxing skills, the right last name, and the ability to remain fairly active round after round.  These are all things necessary to win all the close rounds.  Add to that the fact that Zbik is a European fighter; not likely to utilize much head movement, which would be essential to countering Chavez.  Unless Zbik has tremendous skills we have not yet seen, and he can completely dominate, expect a wide unanimous decision for Chavez.


Chris Strait
www.convictedartist.com
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