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Home Boxing OCTOBER PREDICTIONS
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OCTOBER PREDICTIONS

boxing_art_0012Carl Froch vs. Arthur Abraham
This is the big fight of the month, and most think it should be a firefight.  I say 'should', because despite the dynamite possible in this showdown, there is a high likelyhood that it could disappoint.  Both men have had action-packed fights, and explosive knockout wins, yet they often let their opponents dictate the pace of a fight.  This has been true of Froch's last two fights, as well as every Abraham opponent of any real talent level.  I wonder how Froch will react to Abraham taking early rounds off.  I wonder how either man will react to the other's power.  Abraham is a solid, durable fighter, yet he has yet to face a real puncher at Super Middleweight.  Froch's chin is still a mystery as well, having been seriously hurt against average-punching Jermain Taylor, yet weathering the shots of harder punching Mikkel Kessler.  Simply put, the first fighter to do something out of character will take control.  I see Froch winning the majority of early rounds, but Abraham coming on strong late.  I don't see a KO win here, probably from a lack of sustained action.  Hopefully there will still be some fireworks, but we are likely to see more careful behavior than anything, once mutual respect is established.  Abraham by close, perhaps controversial decision.  This fight is not on as neutral of territory as Froch thinks it is.

Guillermo Jones vs. Valery Brudov
Both Jones and Wlodarczyk are in easy tune-up fights, yet Jones needed to be threatened with having his title stripped before he was finally able to get into a ring.  This is a way to keep him busy and vital before a return to Germany for a tournament would get him some money.  Hopefully don King will let Jones enter, as most of the action will likely take place in Germany, where Jones won his title.  Jones has been one of the top Cruisers for nearly 8 years now, and has barely fought that many times.  The layoff won't hurt him, as they haven't before, and he has altered his style to fit his growing, still very tall body throughout the divisions.  Unless he has gotten old and rusty for the first time, the jab he used to take the title from Firat Arslan should be more than enough to put Brudov back in the defensive shell he goes into against top opposition.  Jones by wide unanimous decision, in a well-deserved hometown defense.
 
Vitali Klitschko vs. Shannon Briggs
For a while there, it seemed as if the elder Klitschko was inching ahead of his younger brother for heavyweight dominance, having vanquished top contenders Cris Arreola and Kevin Johnson.  But his recent choice of opponents shows that even he has finally begun to feel Father Time.  He seems to be hanging out, taking little risk, until someone in his family can get Haye in the ring and grab that last belt for the Klitschko clan.  Briggs has increased his bulk, defense, and perhaps even power over the years, but chin, stamina, and desire are still questions, and one can have no questions when taking on one of the Klitschkos.  I don't even think Briggs has a punchers chance, because a minute into round one, he will be scared to let his hands go.  Kltischko will take his time, as he always does, and wear down Briggs.  This will continue until someone in the equation: referee, corner, or Briggs himself, recognizes the futility of the exercise.  Klitschko by 7th round TKO.

Chris Strait
www.convictedartist.com

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