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Feb 07th
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Home Boxing MAY BOXING PREDICTIONS
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MAY BOXING PREDICTIONS

 

chris arreola boxingArreola-Stiverne 2
The upside to the winner of this fight is endless.  First champion of your ethnicity in the heavyweight division.  Due an optional defense, that is likely to be a big money fight with Wladimir Klitschko.  And either validation for Stiverne, or redemption for Arreola.  The first fight managed to be entertaining, even though Arreola could not breathe, and Stiverne was boxing a smart fight.  With neither of those things a guarantee to slow down fight two, we could be in for a rare high-level brawl in the heavyweight division.  I'd probably pick either guy to lose to Bryant Jennings, too... but that is unimportant in the immediate present.  Either guy would be very deserving of a win on May 10th, as well, and that is something we cannot always say.  The motivation is there for both, but I like Arreola by a close MD... in a fight where it will now be Stiverne, who has no room to breathe.

Marquez-Alvarado
There is really not much reason for this fight.  It is being done because Top Rank's options at 140-147 are so limited, that certain fights need to be made.  Look for Rios-Provodnikov soon.  This is a chance for Marquez to return to the Forum, the building in which he built his name 15-20 years ago, and sign off from there.  Alvarado cannot lose here.  If he loses, it is not likely to be by crushing KO, which after Provodnikov, would end his career.  It will be his biggest payday, and he stands a good chance of pulling the upset.  I don't see much motivation for Marquez, other than a potential 5th fight with Pacquiao, from which he stands to gain nothing.  Marquez is probably still shaken from his loss to Bradley, as he has only been out-boxed like that once before.  Maybe that's the rematch he really wants.  Should he remain focused, however, he should get the win by an 8-4 decision.

Froch- Groves 2
I am glad HBO is picking this up, but I still don't want to see the winner in with Andre Ward just yet... although Ward being in the ring, period, would be nice.  Groves and Froch have lessons to learn from the first fight, and I fear that may prevent this from being the barn-burner the first fight was.  In fact, I think we are looking at a close tactical fight, because both men now fear the other's power.  Froch may even be more motivated for redemption than Groves, however, and that should be the difference.  Froch by MD

Stevenson-Fonfara
This is a tough one, although it shouldn't be.  This is only a guesser because there have been many careers to Fonfara: light hitting, then powerful... losses, then unbeaten streak... hasn't fought anyone, then beating former world champions.  Stevenson is riding high, but this is the point when may a fighter suffers an upset loss.  Style-wise, however, we go right back to the expected.  Stevenson has all the southpaw lateral movement that gave Fonfara fits against Campillo, combined with crushing power.  Fonfara may rattle Adonis occasionally, but only within a defensive posture.  Stevenson by later round TKO, unless he gets caught.

Chris Strait
www.convictedartist.com

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