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Home Boxing WHO WILL TOPPLE MARAVILLA??
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WHO WILL TOPPLE MARAVILLA??

 

sergio-martinez-boxerWith the Middleweight division starting to get exciting again, it may be very poor timing for it's leader.  Sergio Martinez could take years to get old, but serious talent is developing under his championship banner, after a few years of seemingly the opposite.  Martinez is probably the most vulnerable dominant champion is recent memory, so all of his challengers have a chance.  Add to that the fact that they seem unwilling to fight each other lately (only Sturm is taking on tough opposition regularly, and his fights almost always end with close, disputed decisions that solve nothing).  Let's look at how some of the other top middleweights stack up against Maravilla, and their chances of fighting him, and beating him.

Daniel Geale - The Australian has good enough connections to win close decisions in Germany, but his style in overwhelming defensive fighters with activity may not work so well against Martinez.  He is not much of a puncher, and as Dzinziruk found out, if you don't have much to keep Martinez off, you get broken down.  Still, he is the legit number one contender to the crown, and promotional difficulties should not hold this one up.  Chances of fight: High.  chances of winning: Low.

Peter Quillin - He has the skills to defeat an old Winky Wright, and a limited Hassan D'Jam, but we still don't know much about Kid Chocolate.  Anything from protected joke to future hall of famer is believable now, yet I feel Golden Boy is priming Quillin for takeover after Martinez retires, or is toppled, i.e. the Povetkin plan.  Style-wise, if they did fight, Martinez just has too many skills right now.  Quillin would close strong, but probably be too far behind.  Chances of fight: Low.  Chances of winning: Medium.

Dmitry Pirog - The only way Pirog is getting in there with Martinez is if frustration mounts after the WBO never makes Quillin fight him.  It is a suicide mission for Pirog.  Not to mention a boring fight, with a big ending.  Pirog probably scores a flash knockdown, but this is a tactical battle, with Martinez landing better, until he flattens Pirog late.  Chances of fight: Medium.  Chances of winning: Low

Daniel Jacobs - Like Chavez with Top Rank, Di Bella will do business with the bigger outfits when they bring the money, as the story of Jacobs is likely to do.  With his loss to Pirog, loss of his grandmother, and subsequent cancer battle, just getting to a title shot is a win for Jacobs.  It is a great story, and even if Jacobs does not win, he is not likely to lose any fans.  The trick is maneuvering him there in time for Martinez to still be active, and maximize Jacobs story's earning potential.  If they do fight, Martinez is too fast and strong, and probably stops him late.  Chances of fight: Medium.  Chances of winning: Low

Gennady Golovkin - If he had fought Geale, Pirog, or Sturm, he'd be number 1 right now, and it is certainly not his fault those 3 ran from him.  However, other than his win over Proksa, his resume is lacking top Middleweights.  The skills, strength, and power of Golovkin is so drastic, however, that many are already anointing him the next big thing.  If Martinez fails to make a fight with any big names at 154lbs, this fight could be his swan song.  In other words, this is the fight he takes when he is just about done.  If Golovkin is the last man standing, and beats former Martinez victims easier and quicker (as he is likely to do), this could happen, but not soon.  If it did, he has the right style and ability to defeat Maravilla.  He may get outboxed for a while, but it doesn't take long for Golovkin opponents to get broken down.  This time it will take longer, but the Kazakh fighter will likely stay the course, and win by close decision or late round TKO.  Chances of fight: Medium.  Chances of winning: High

Chris Strait
www.convictedartist.com

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